The bad science of DEP would rule much of NJ as flooded area, by Ray Cantor | Columnists

The PACT proposals are based on an imperfect and unpaired Rutgers report, “New Jersey’s Rising Seas and Changing Coastal Storms: Report of the 2019 Science and Technical Advisory Panel,” which contained a table of sea level rise scenarios in the state through the year 2150. The DEP selected chart predictions for the year 2100 – 80 years from now – assuming a 5.1-foot rise in sea level, which the report itself says has only a 17% chance of occurring.

In other words, DEP wants homeowners and businesses to comply with flood hazard regulations that assume this sea level rise is here today, not potentially 80 years into the future.

Coupled with a simultaneous proposal to subject inland areas to 500-year flood levels, which is not based on any science, these proposed regulations will turn nearly half of the state into a regulatory flood zone.

Let’s take a look at the real-world impacts of these proposals.

Buildings in affected areas will need to be raised an additional 5 feet. Many areas of the state, including barrier islands, bay communities, and urban areas such as Hoboken, Newark, Jersey City, and Atlantic City, may become undevelopable. Even redevelopment can be …

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